BERI - Automobile Industry in Emerging Growth Markets



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The Automobile Industry in Emerging Growth Markets annual study is a forecast and report for over 65 non-OECD* countries, 2004-2009. This study is conducted for automobile and parts manufacturers from Europe, Asia and the USA and provides comprehensive, reliable forecasts for those countries which are expected to show a rapid growth.

An extensive team of analysts assessing the environment for business and the automotive industry country-by-country and an examination of their findings by senior staff.
Updating and revising of statistics in past studies to allow for exports and imports, assembly from kits and production, scope of smuggling in both directions, and level of passenger cars being used as commercial vehicles and the reverse.
Extensive research to relate the forecast to:
1. Political trends and policies
2. Social attitudes and conditions
3. Economic outlook and purchasing power in the local currency
4. Market constraints and regulations affecting vehicles
5. Present and possible future obstacles to importing parts, components, kits, and finished vehicles such as duties, quotas, surcharges, etc.
Quantitative experimentation to relate such independent variables as real disposable income, interest rates, ages of vehicles in operation, installment debt, consumer price escalation, and others to sales of personal and commercial units. A separate methodology was established for each major country, and a collective methodology was created for such minor markets as most African countries.

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*Turkey is a member of OECD

Country List for Automobile Study:

Africa	Asia	Caribbean, Central & South America	Europe	Middle East
Algeria Cameroon Côte d'Ivoire Egypt Ethiopia Ghana Kenya Libya Morocco Nigeria Reunion South Africa Tanzania Tunisia Zambia Zimbabwe	Bangladesh Hong Kong Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Philippines Singapore Taiwan, R.O.C. Thailand	Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador Guatemala Panama Paraguay Peru Puerto Rico Trinidad & Tobago Uruguay Venezuela	Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Hungary Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Poland Romania Russia Slovenia Turkey Ukraine	Bahrain Iran Iraq Israel Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Syria United Arab Emirates